Juanita Calfee
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Tend to choose the program A
However, loss and access is not absolute. When people get in the face of risk aversion, and preference in the face of loss, when the risk of loss and get another point, relative to the reference, and change things when people used in the evaluation of the view can change people is attitude towards risk. .example, a company faced with two investment christian louboutin sale decisions, investment program A positive gains for 200 million investment program in a 50% chance B profit 3,000,000, 50% chance of profit 1 million. At this time, if the company is profit target is set relatively low, for example, is 100 million, then the program looks like an extra profit of A 1 million, while B is just to achieve either goal, or more than 2 million profit. A and B look up are available, most employees do not want to risk this time, tend to choose the program A;
Their health have increased the probability of death for people who find it difficult to accept the loss
In the experiment, many people will louboutin sale say a few are willing to hundred dollars to buy medicine, but pharmaceutical companies spend tens of thousands of dollars even if they do louboutin sale not want to participate in experimental drug trial. This fact is loss aversion psychology. disease cured after the disease is a relatively sensitive and will, their health have increased the probability of death for people who find it difficult to accept the loss, it is clear that people requested compensation for the loss is much higher than they are willing to pay as much as treatment.
Suppose you got a disease
This is Kahneman, theory to be happy. Let us look at a Sall raised question: Suppose you got a disease, the possibility of a millionth (car accident death rate lower than the U.S. average) will be sudden death, there is a drug After eating the possibility of death can be louboutin sale reduced to zero, then how much money you are willing to buy these medicines? So now what you think of, assuming you are very healthy, if pharmaceutical companies are now looking for some test They developed a kind of new drugs, after taking this drug will make louboutin you have a slim possibility of sudden death, then you ask how much money pharmaceutical companies to compensate you?
A is the loss of 1
most people christian louboutin choose A This shows that people are risk aversion. .Second, this two choices, A is the loss of 1,000 christian louboutin yuan you sure, B is a 50% probability cost you 2000 dollars, 50% chance you lost nothing. results Most people choose B, which shows that they are risk appetite. .However, careful analysis of the two questions above, you will find that they are all the same. assuming you win the first of 2,000 yuan, 1,000 yuan so sure to win , that is from winning the 2000 loss of 1,000 RMB yuan in the affirmative; 50% of the winning 2000 dollars is a 50% chance of no loss of money; 50% can not get anything on the possibility of loss is equivalent to 50% in 2000 element. .It is not difficult to conclude: people in the face was often cautious, unwilling to take risks; in the face of losses, all have become adventurers had.
Thursday, January 13, 2011
These photographs were Fan is once a pupil to own
Recently, Guo Qing Xiang outward announced a set of photograph, he calls that this photograph is Fan the evidence of"the flowing water line makes a painting" is once.To this, Guo Qing Xiang tells a reporter, these photographs were Fan is once a pupil to own, he is to by chance get these pictures, in the photograph Fan expressed once the flowing water line made the scene christian louboutin shoes of painting saw with his more than ten year agoses of look exactly alike, "Fan once of this kind of drawing completely can not call to is an art creations, but oneself made duplicate own flowing water line homework, is grew a false art".
Fan once the aspect didn,t respond to
Now the reporter matter contacted Fan once of assistant, Mr. Zou, .Mr. Zou means that he doesn,t understand to this matter, Fan once the aspect didn,t do any response to this.However, there are medium reporting to call Fan once broker Mr. Xu said to this response, at that moment of painting field, and was much more than Fan to once draw like this, "Guo Qing Xiang said like this and explained that he didn,t understand a painting".Later on, the this report reporter contacted to be responsible for Fan a work to once is really false to affirm again of a Sir who nameds Xu Dou, he means that he isn,t Fan once of broker, have never said similar words to the medium as well.Xu Dou also means that Fan once had no broker, he didn,t also relate to with this matter.
And mentioned now before now there is the phenomenon of "the flowing water line makes a painting" in the art turn
The announcement photograph of Guo Qing Xiang calls that once the Fan flowing water line drew
Collector Guo Qing Xiang wrote to aim at the not normal phenomenon that the art collected boundary to put forward critique, and mentioned now before now there is the phenomenon of "the flowing water line makes a painting" in the art turn.But didn,t carry on a roll call christian louboutin shoes to the critical painter in the article, later on, painter, Fan, once thought that the person whom the article mentions is he or she, because of the dissatisfied medium announce of this criticizes an article, he will publish at 9 the end of the months 《the text makes collective report 》 in Shanghai of Guo Qing Xiang is article waits two authors to tell into a court with Guo Qing Xiang and request judge to compensate gift apology the accused, cancellation influence, and to first accused Guo Qing Xiang demand for reimbursement reputation and spirit loss fee 5,000,000 dollars.This lawsuit also became art turn highly anticipated affairs at that time.
At that time for"2 chose 1"
The automobile chooses number to pass a calculator creation at the earliest stage and want to trace back to till 2003, at that time for"2 chose 1", developed into "6 chose 1" afterwards.In 2008, "6 choose 1" gets stripe into "8 choose 1", and released at the same time calculator from plait from choose.Since November, this year, "8 choose 1" gets stripe for"10 choose 1".
Since January 4, 2011, will re- adjust from choosing from the plait.
Repair to go into christian louboutin shoes from choose the number pond license plate number within database, no longer press the Arabic numerals from small to the big increased way, but is random produced by the calculator.Everyone never believe the rumor that can predict license plate number and choose number to go to or entrust as far as possible by himself/herself legal agent to carry out.
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